Havana, May 15 – John R. Bolton, National Security Adviser to President Donald Trump, promotes in Washington stale, old-fashioned ideas that can lead the United States down a slippery slope to the cliff.
Now it is the turn of Iran and the region of the Middle East, where the White House seems set to add fuel to the fire in its eagerness to destroy the Islamic Republic.
According to The New York Times at a meeting of President Trump’s top national security advisors last Thursday, interim Defense Secretary Patrick Shanahan presented an updated military plan that plans to send up to 120,000 troops to the Middle East if Iran attack the US forces or accelerate work on nuclear weapons.
This situation, according to the newspaper, reflects the influence of Bolton, one of the most virulent hawks of the administration in relation to the Persian nation, whose attempted confrontation with Tehran was ignored more than a decade ago by President George W. Bush.
The newspaper notes that it is very uncertain if Trump, who tries to separate the United States from Afghanistan and Syria, will ultimately send so many US forces back to the Middle East.
Reports point out that there are strong divisions in the administration on how to respond to Iran at a time when tensions over its nuclear policy increase after the White House ignored an agreement signed by Washington and allied powers with Tehran in 2015.
In that scenario created by Bolton, highlights a call from Abdulaziz Sager, president and founder of the Gulf Research Center, based in Jeddah, Saudi Arabia, and Hossein Mousavian, a specialist in nuclear safety and Middle East policy at Princeton University and export speaker of Iran’s nuclear negotiation team.
The moment for dialogue is now, because the situations in the zones of historical conflict are ripe for diplomacy, both argue at a time when incidents without requiring authorship warms the climate for a war action in the Persian Gulf.
Apparently the plans that Bolton sells involves a military force of 120,000 troops, which would be close to the size of the one that the Pentagon used to invade Iraq in 2003.
There is alarm in US military media who believe that such action against the Iranians would entangle the country in a protracted conflict, whose consequences would be devastating for the region and for the entire world.
Since Bolton became National Security Advisor in April 2018, he intensified the Trump administration’s policy of isolating and exerting pressure on Iran, disregarding treaties and emboldening other hawks who are betting on war.
However, there is fear that navigation routes in the Persian Gulf may become flash points, extremely serious for everyone, even the United States, although their dependence on Arab oil has decreased to some extent.
In this context, there is an incident or sabotage of oil tankers near the United Arab Emirates, of which there is still no evidence linking Iran or its representatives to these attacks, despite the fact that in Washington they try to blame it on the Persian nation.
Apparently the United States is isolating itself, because the European nations ask for moderation, for fear of an accidental escalation that could lead to a conflict with Iran, which many fear.
In this scenario it is striking that at the end of April, a US intelligence analysis indicated that Iran did not have a short-term desire to provoke a conflict, although for the Bolton hawks it is the opposite, or at least they are pushing for that to happen.
The question is whether Trump will be carried away by Bolton and will be thrown into a war scenario from which he can get hurt badly and that it would be the coup de grace to his aspirations to continue in the White House after 2020.(Prensa Latina)